25 February 2015

Climate Change Questions

Many Unanswered

Yes, the history of this planet shows constant climate changes, some very quickly and cataclysmic for previously existing lifeforms.

I believe our sun will grow hotter and hotter on its way to eventual super nova, but I cannot find how quickly it's getting hotter.


I am quite troubled by the data I can access regarding Global Average Temperatures.  I would like to find annual average air temperatures; highs, lows and means, collected at various altitudes from reference points representing the geographical distributions of water and land, using reliable calibrated instruments and standard procedures; collected reliably over at least 100 years.  All I seem to find is manipulated data, no raw data, no collection points, no representation rational.


I wonder why we don’t use all meaningful data points; we have the computational capacity to average all?  


The data might not illustrate their points as compellingly as their beliefs .


Question 1.  When and where were the first reliable worldwide near ground or near sea surface air temperature readings collected with correct procedure, instrumentation and documentation?


Question 2.  When were the first International Standards for calibration and measurement of near surface air temperatures created and agreed to?


Question 3.  How many sample points are routinely collected now; how many were also sampled routinely in 1900, 1800, 1700 or earlier?


Question 4.  How are globally representative sample locations chosen?  (geography, population demographics, random lat/long, 70% over water 30% over land, and how is bias avoided)


I’ve read many studies and summary reports of studies since 1989.  I reviewed and commented on about 140 of the better reputedly scientific Global Warming and Climate Change studies for my employers over more than 30 years, retired since 2008.  Most did not exhibit much conventional scientific method, many did not use raw unmanipulated data or rationale for chosen/excluded/averaged data extrapolations.  Less than 40 studies adhered to conventional scientific method, explained rational data point choices and methods, or drew conclusions supported by the data presented.  Many had clearly manipulated data to support their desired conclusions.


Solar Radiance Output:


Question 5.  What method is used to determine energy output changes from the Sun adjusted for the Solar Activity Cycles?


Question 6.  For how many years do we have reliable measurements of various solar radiation components reaching earth?


Question 7.  At what rate have they increased or decreased?


It matters because our sun is the primary source of atmospheric heat on earth.  


Geothermal Input
I believe the next most important source of earth's atmospheric warming is geothermal escape from earth’s core and crust; magma, gas, ash and lava, venting and eruptions.


Question 8.  What percentage of global atmospheric temperature comes from geothermal contributions?


Question 9.  Has its influence lessened, increased or stayed the same for the past 100, 1,000 or 10,000 years?


Question 10.  By what measurement methods was that determined?


Question 11.  Has core magma average temperature changed measurably the past 100, 1,000 or 10,000 years?


Question 12.  Determined by what method?


Question 13.  Excluding human activities (life, industry, food production, wastes, etc.) what are the other life forms and their atmospheric temperature contributions?


And finally, human life contributions which I believe have been severely exaggerated in relative importance when compared to natural astrophysical (sun), geophysical (earth), and atmospheric (air/water vapor) physics and chemistry processes, known and unknown.


Question 14.  What percentage of near surface atmospheric heat can be attributed to human life and all of its associated needs?


I believe the sun has grown hotter and will continue, as predicted, to slowly grow hotter for billions of years until supernova.   I think magma and volcanic activity will rise and recede following peak solar cycle outputs; slowly increasing with solar output.  I think human and all other life form's contributions will remain stable, insignificant, independent of the earth’s carrying capacity, and not positively impacted by any human efforts at unnatural atmospheric or climatic interference.

Don’t pick fights using artificial methods with natural processes you don’t understand well!    

20 February 2015

Heinous Acts Stop Terrorism

Extremely Heinous Attacks
Stop Terrorism


Lately there has been a lot of discussion about preventing terror attacks by experienced novices and very experienced warriors; and a mountain of commentators, journalists, the well-meaning, elected officials and other morons and idiots.  Few of them seem to understand much about severely inhumane violence or the history of successfully ending undesirable violent conflicts.


So, here are a few historical and personal observations about very basic evil behavior and a “How to List” to end terrorism from religious extremists or other primitive bigots.


It is clearly intended to be and is completely incorrect; socially, legally, intellectually, culturally, morally, ethically and politically.


If you have a delicate psyche or are just troubled by severe mayhem and mass homicide, or don’t what to know what’s necessary to stop the chain of escalating successive events of terrorist violence:


Stop Reading Now!   


If not, what follows is my assessment of what has worked historically with easily observable examples. Some that you have probably not seen or heard of in more than 50 years, if ever.


First, a few general observations

  1. Dead people cannot commit crimes of inhumane violence or terrorize anyone.
  2. Their dead siblings, spouses, parents, children or associates cannot commit crimes or terrorize anyone in retribution; they’re Dead.
  3. If non-participants fear they will be tortured, dismembered, eaten, burned alive, drowned, beheaded, repeatedly raped and publicity murdered, etc., or actually see people being tortured and murdered and it’s widely known; they will avoid terrorist affiliations.   
  4. Exchanges of minimally escalated mayhem stops when one group of active participants commits a most unimaginably heinous act on an enormous scale, killing and maiming large percentages of participants and non-participants, and is believed likely to continue doing so unless all hostilities are halted.  (i.e. Hiroshima and Nagasaki atomic bombings -  WWII, Sherman’s March to the Sea - Civil War, Kit Carson’s conquest of the Navajo - Indian Wars)
  5. The perpetrator is unwilling to listen to accusations from allies, enemies or individuals, and seems unaffected by condemnation by nations, religions, cultures or world organizations, or their spokespeople.


These kinds of things work when carefully and correctly executed in large circumstances and small, like Atomic bombings in Japan, or John “Liver-eating” Johnston (Jeremiah Johnson movie) Plains Indian conflict in the Montana Wilderness, circa 1850-1880.


The United States has not effectively used hardly any meaningful strategies in 70 years, choosing instead something called “limited warfare” an idiotic oxymoron from which sprang elaborate and moronic “Rules of Engagement” ensuring a long list of win-less conflicts through the present day anti-terrorism charades.


My suggestions for annihilating terrorism:

  1. Preposition Combined Services Assault Teams, equipment and supplies near all likely future terror event sites.
  2. Train and prepare for joint mission assaults upon terrorists regardless of the geographic location.
  3. When positioned and upon any credible intelligence, attack the location with multiple assault teams killing all there except a few high value principles, if there; collect all useful intelligence devices; destroy all infrastructure; destroy all assets; contaminate all food and water sources; flatten all possible habitation and exit quickly.
  4. Aggressively Interrogate high value assets, when no longer useful, execute them.
  5. Publish accounts of the attack with pictures taking credit for all illustrative factual aspects.  Do not comment or reply to any other source accounts, except to discredit them as terrorists sympathizer's lacking first hand knowledge, and blame the terrorists and them for any dead captives.
  6. Repeat all the above with increasing frequency, ignoring all commentary, individual, national, or international organization. Quickly elevate the ferocity and heinousness.
  7. Do not apologize for anything, even something bad, even if it’s true!


Our incompetent leadership has abandoned what works for the nice, feel-good, political and social correctness of the well-meaning.


Merciless, unrelenting, heinous punishment works, choosing self-imposed artificial limitations does not. Don't worry about Terrorism's new recruits; if you are killing enough of them fast enough, new recruits will be very scarce.

And remember, when they are dead, they can’t terrorize anyone.

07 January 2015

Your Legacy, Mr. President


If you or anyone else wanted to get an analytical sense of the value of your Presidency.

You need only ask and answer two simple questions to quickly depict the gist of your legacy.

Two easily quantified answers will lead directly to a clear picture in any one's mind.

Two numbers will exhibit your contributions to the hard working, tax-paying, law-abiding citizens of our country.

The first simple question is; How many people were working full-time (40 hours per week of more) for wages when you took Office as President?

The second simple question is; How many citizens are working full-time for wages today?

The difference between the beginning your temporary tenure and now is quantifiable as a positive or negative number.

The answers are:

Then 106* million 46.4% and now 113.44* million, 47%, a plus 0.6% increase in the number full-time workers working for money in 6 years!  The current number includes a increase of millions being paid from tax money or working for organizations that never pay any income taxes. 

The difference, Mr President, indicates the value of your contributions.

A minuscule increase of 6/10ths of 1 percent, nearly invisible, virtually insignificant.

* these numbers pending additional confirmation because working non-citizens, working prisoners, and questionable governmental and special tax-exempt employee numbers seem to be misrepresented.  The difference between then and now may actually be (0) zero or (-) negative.

06 July 2014

You’re Only Owed What You Earn


You should only be paid what you can prove you’re worth.

Not some amount you imagine, or some imposed minimum wage just because you are alive, sucking air and capable of reproducing. 

Get an education, learn a skill; go to work.  If you consistently prove you are worth something; you will be compensated based upon the value of your contributions. 

If you think you are worth more; explain your value to the boss and ask politely for a reasonable raise. 

If you don’t get it, work harder, follow instructions and rules, be on time ready to work, get more training and education, be a pleasant helpful worker. Ask what you are not now doing, or what you can do better.

If that doesn’t work, apply elsewhere immediately and effectively for a better job. 

When you get a better job; quit the old one and move on politely.

Another word or two about Minimum Wage laws; they are unwise, destructive, erode self esteem, and one way or another are a false indication of a workers' or a jobs' actual value. 

Individuals have the right to work for free; if they want.  Or for some amount of money they agree to, or for food, housing or medical care, or training and experience, or to help others, or just for fun; if they wish.

Government decided wages leads to Government decided prices; then to Government decided everything; what you wear, what you eat, where you live, when you work, what you do, if you get medical care, if you get a car or a coat and what color it will be, who you can be seen with and what you can say in public and in private.

You won’t like it.

There is No Free Stuff,


There should not be Prohibited Stuff

 Both, Free things and Prohibited things are wrong, although the unintended consequences are different, both have them.  I grew up in the fifties.  We knew nothing was free by simple observation, and that someone had to have paid for it or it wouldn’t exist.  The only commonly known prohibitions were driving without a license, buying booze, and gambling for money.  We knew there were other laws that affected adults, but we only cared about those constraining us.

As a child growing up in a small desert railroad town on the way to Las Vegas we knew that gambling was prohibited for those of us under 21 years of age; but in a railroad town train crews laid-over in alternating directions for the next train.  With lots of free time there was always a poker game in room 103 of the Lay-Over Hotel.  I learned to play poker and cheat for money from off duty Rails willing to take a 12 year old kid’s money for amusement. 

As a 14 year old I bought beer, at 15 I bought Gin and malt liquor, at 16 I bought any liquor I wanted with fake Identifications stolen from Marines and modified to past as 21 year olds with out of state drivers licenses.

At 14 I bought a partially disassembled motorcycle from a junk yard and fixed it up, drove it to work with my father’s permission, staying mostly on utility roads, and off-road, avoiding local police and state highway patrol for almost 2 years before I had a learners permit.

Prohibitions create big black market businesses, have for thousands of years, and always will.  If there’s enough demand there will be providers.  If there is strong enough need, there will be many violators.

So much for Prohibitions!

Now, how about Free stuff; as a carefully observant young person, I noticed I never got anything for free.  If it seemed to be free, I knew someone must have paid to create it.  I didn’t work for free.  I didn’t know anyone who made stuff for free.  I never got anything for free that didn’t eventually cost me alot money, or misery or both in some way.  Subsidies are stupid also; just more artificially free stuff.  

How are these two alike?  They are artificial, fake, and phony. 

An attempt to limit dangerous mistakes made by children doesn’t require more ridiculous laws; it requires more effective education and more responsible parenting.

Attempting to limit dangerously ignorant behavior by adults is a foolish and expensive waste of time and money.  STOP IT, and stop deceiving ignorant people by implying that things can be FREE.

28 November 2013

National Capitol Move

I first published this in April 2009.  I'm republishing it because I still believe it could cure many of the ills that plague us as a free people.

The Capitol and the White House have been located in Washington DC since 1791 and I suppose in many peoples minds it might seem it has always been so. Congresses have met in at least eight different cities, Philadelphia, Baltimore, Lancaster, York, Princeton, Annapolis, Trenton and New York City.

Article I Section 8 of the Constitution (1789) gave congress legislative authority over "such districts as may, by cession of particular States, and the acceptance of Congress, become the seat of the Government of the United States.” In 1788 Maryland and 1789 Virginia both ceded land (ten square miles). In 1790 Congress passed the Residence Act. In 1791 President Washington chose Maryland's property and under the provisions of the Act selected three Commissioners to oversee the design and construction of the Capitol City and Government buildings.

Another Congressional Act can solicit states, re-establish commissioners, and arrange to move the Capitol, the Presidents Residence, and other necessary government buildings to another place at a site chosen by another President. A previous President chose the current place; a current President can choose a new one, in concert with a legislative act.

In other nations the site of the capitol changes from time to time, often by conquest or overthrow. Our overthrows take place in an orderly election and our ruler is a leader with a certain term and limited powers, but none have attempted to relocate the Capitol.

Don't get me wrong; I'm not proposing moving everything, just congress’s meeting place and the president's residence. The current White House, the monuments, the museums and other governmental buildings can stay where they are.

Why, you might ask, should such a folly be undertaken?

The time has long past since there was any benefit to the rest of the nation from this location. When our nation was a small North East Coastal country, 10 square miles in Maryland was fairly centralized. The Nation is now a larger entity. Washington DC is not central to the nation geographically, socially or economically. It's only central to itself and those who feed off the delusion that it’s the focus of a whole nation. It’s time to change its view of itself, and the easy familiar access of those from the tired, old, myopic, Euro-centric, northeast.

Relocate the Capitol and the President to any other city with modern communication and transportation infrastructure, preferably west of the Mississippi River. While you are at it, drop the 200-year-old idea that Ohio is mid-west. Utah or Nevada is mid-west, not Illinois or Iowa. The Capitol has been in the same place, an inconvenience to most of the country for 210 years. That's long enough.

Some might say the effort is too expensive, some might say it's racially motivated, the east coast media might characterize it many ways to protect their long held easy access and unearned influence. Some might say just moving the capitol wouldn’t necessarily change that. They may be right, but it will provide a different prospective and different players, and some tired old ideas will be lost.

If nothing else, the old lobbyists and old media people would have to move to the new territories, assimilate a new culture, learn a new language, develop new insights, modify their values, restore their faith and judgment, I think these sound like worthwhile objectives. The nation would gain all this and the Easterners would lose nothing but a little time to take a slightly longer plane flight to the Capitol. The people of the west would have shorter flights and a renewed interest in remaining part of this great union.

Pick a city, any city west of Ohio. I don't care where; Albuquerque, Salt Lake City, Omaha, Dallas, Los Angeles, San Francisco, Seattle, Phoenix, Reno, Helena, Fargo, Sioux Falls, Topeka, Denver, this isn't a campaign for a place, it's a campaign for a new view and new behavior. Recovering the energy, spirit, courage, innovation, and individual involvement that once made this nation willing to act upon its beliefs, instead of one hamstrung by legal precedents that ignore our values. One where academics ponder instead of inspire, officials procrastinate instead of permit, and some people try to hold everyone back instead of helping others to reach new heights, and some people willingly accept that which they have not earned.

Health Care Insurance; it’s not a Right.

The Unaffordable Care and Tax Act isn’t anything I want.  I worked for 50 years and saved money whenever I could, scrimping all my life so I would have enough money for housing, food and medical care when I would no longer be able to work.  Even though the Government took my hard earned money for 50 years supposedly for a retirement insurance supplement (Social Security Act); and for 37 years without any benefit to me, and still to this day take my money for Medicare which I didn’t ask for, never wanted and don’t need but must pay for this poor quality, badly managed, heavily regulated, government mandated insurance.   

I didn’t and couldn’t save enough to provide FREE health insurance to anyone else, who likely contributed nothing or very little to their own well-being. 

Health Care Insurance is not a Constitutional, nor a Human Right!  And it should never be.

It has nothing whatever to do with Social Justice; whatever they claim that means now or next. 

I have paid for decades and continue to pay today for health care for people I don’t know and will never meet; people not even from my neighborhood, town or state.  

I pay for emergency care at many hospitals, for social security eligible surviving children, military members and families, veterans, military and civilian prisoners, poor children, single mothers, Medicaid recipients, handicapped, crippled, mentally ill, and the severely infirmed.  Oh, and, I forgot foreign visitors and workers, and legal immigrants and illegal intruders (you can’t be any kind of immigrant unless you are here legally) and invaders. 

Intruders are just bad mannered; invaders come here intending to take our jobs, our benefits, and our property (including money) or do us physical harm and more.  

Everyone, citizen or non-citizen, in our country for any reason can get medical care at any true hospital; they must treat you, it’s the law.  No one in our country has to go without medical care. 

No person has to have health insurance.  It’s a farce created by insurance companies and conniving politicians tricking the ignorant into wasting money or voting for a lying corrupt public parasites.

Every person, legally here or not, can save money for health care in a bank savings account or in a shoe box.   Citizens can create a tax free Health Savings Account (HSA) from which any legitimate medical expense can be paid in cash. 

Every legitimate medical treatment or urgent care can be financed and paid for incrementally by honest responsible individuals.  And if not, there is the Bankruptcy process to escape debts you are not sincerely capable of ever paying.

The reason health care is so expensive is Health Insurance and government interference.  If people would ask, “How much does this cost?”  Then decide whether or not it would be worth it to them to have another X-ray, blood test or Stress test, if you had to pay with your own cash.  Offer to pay your Doctor in cash in advance what Medicare or Insurance will pay minus the costs of billing them.   You will be shocked how much less you could pay than the Government/Insurance billing price. 
  
No one is entitled to medical care for FREE, or at anyone else’s expense.

No one is entitled to FREE Medical Insurance paid for by me or any other citizens under threat of criminal punishment by our Government.  Nor should any free citizen ever be forced to pay for or forced to accept any kind of insurance, poor quality government or high quality private, for which we have not individually and freely consented.

Health Care is not a Constitutional Right.  And it should never be.


Equal Taxation, Equal Liberty, and Equal Justice for each citizen must be urgently restored!